9. What
do you think about Global Climate Change?
Archive
of Past Articles for Chapter 9
2009 November 3. Religion’s
Role in the Climate Challenge. By Andrew
C. Revkin, The NY Times. Excerpt:
A remarkable conclave of leading
figures from nine of the world’s
major religions is under way at Windsor
Castle in Britain, under the auspices
of Prince Philip and the United
Nations secretary general, Ban Ki-moon.
Called “Many Heavens, One Earth,” the
meeting is intended to generate commitments
for actions by religious organizations,
congregants and countries that could
reduce emissions of greenhouse gases
or otherwise limit the human impact
on the environment.
...Olav Kjorven, an assistant secretary
general at the United Nations involved
with the meeting, spent the last
year visiting religious orders around
the world to see what faiths could
bring to the climate table. The answer,
Mr. Kjorven told me, is a lot, and
not simply in prayer.
Religions, he explained, run more
than half the world’s schools,
so tweaking a curriculum to include
more on the environment can have
a big impact. Their vast financial
holdings provide leverage and capital
for investments with environmental
or social benefits. At the conference,
which ends on Wednesday, many faiths
will be announcing long-term
plans to make more of an impact in
an arena that has not tended to be
a top priority....
2009 August 10. The
Earth Is Warming? Adjust the Thermostat. By John Tierney,
The NY Times. Excerpt: ...geoengineering...used
to be dismissed as science fiction
fantasies: cooling the planet with
sun-blocking particles or shades;
tinkering with clouds to make them
more reflective; removing vast quantities
of carbon from the atmosphere.
Today this approach goes by the slightly
less grandiose name of climate engineering,
and it is looking more practical.
Several recent reviews of these ideas
conclude that cooling the planet
would be technically feasible and
economically affordable.
...The National Academy of Sciences
and Britain’s Royal Society
are preparing reports on climate
engineering, and the Obama administration
has promised to consider it. But
so far there has been virtually no
government support for research and
development — certainly nothing
like the tens of billions of dollars
allotted to green energy and other
programs whose effects on the climate
would not be felt for decades.
For perhaps $100 million, climate
engineers could begin field tests
within five years, says Ken Caldeira
of the Carnegie Institution for Science.
Dr. Caldeira is a member of a climate-engineering
study group that met last year at
the Kavli Institute for Theoretical
Physics under the leadership of Steven
E. Koonin, who has since become the
under secretary for science at the
United States Department of Energy.
The group has just issued a report,
published by the Novim research organization,
analyzing the use of aerosol particles
to reflect shortwave solar radiation
back into space.
These particles could be lofted into
the stratosphere to reproduce the
effects of sulfate aerosols from
volcanic eruptions like that of Mount
Pinatubo in 1991, which was followed
by a global cooling of nearly 1 degree
Fahrenheit. Just as occurred after
that eruption, the effects would
wane as the particles fell back to
Earth. Keeping the planet cooled
steadily (at least until carbon emissions
declined) might cost $30 billion
per year if the particles were fired
from military artillery, or $8 billion
annually if delivered by aircraft,
according to the Novim report....
2009 August 8. Climate
Change Seen as Threat to U.S. Security. By John
M. Broder, The NY Times. Excerpt:
WASHINGTON — The
changing global climate will pose
profound strategic challenges to
the United States in coming decades,
raising the prospect of military
intervention to deal with the effects
of violent storms, drought, mass
migration and pandemics, military
and intelligence analysts say.
Such climate-induced crises could
topple governments, feed terrorist
movements or destabilize entire regions,
say the analysts, experts at the
Pentagon and intelligence agencies
who for the first time are taking
a serious look at the national security
implications of climate change.
Recent war games and intelligence
studies conclude that over the next
20 to 30 years, vulnerable regions,
particularly sub-Saharan Africa,
the Middle East and South and Southeast
Asia, will face the prospect of food
shortages, water crises and catastrophic
flooding driven by climate change
that could demand an American humanitarian
relief or military response.
An exercise last December at the
National Defense University, an educational
institute that is overseen by the
military, explored the potential
impact of a destructive flood in
Bangladesh that sent hundreds of
thousands of refugees streaming into
neighboring India, touching off religious
conflict, the spread of contagious
diseases and vast damage to infrastructure. “It
gets real complicated real quickly,” said
Amanda J. Dory, the deputy assistant
secretary of defense for strategy,
who is working with a Pentagon group
assigned to incorporate climate change
into national security strategy planning....
If the United States does not lead
the world in reducing fossil-fuel
consumption and thus emissions of
global warming gases, proponents
of this view say, a series of global
environmental, social, political
and possibly military crises loom
that the nation will urgently have
to address....
2009 July. Atomic
Tracers. By Kathleen
M. Wong, ScienceMatters@Berkeley.
Just as
crime scene investigators use blood,
mud and other environmental clues
to find their suspects, Berkeley
professor Donald DePaolo uses isotopes
to reveal the history of rocks, water
and even the atmosphere....
2009 June 15. A
Climate (Communication) Crisis? By
Andrew C. Nevkin, The NY Times.
Excerpt:
As debates over national and global
climate and energy policy continue
to drag out, there’s
been an intensifying exploration
of climate miscommunication among
those seeking concrete actions that
will make a noticeable difference
in the atmosphere someday. If the
science pointing to a rising risk
of dangerous human interference with
climate is settled, the thinking
goes, then why aren’t people
and the world’s nations galvanized?
Maybe it’s a language problem?...
...Randy Olson, a marine scientist
turned filmmaker and now author,
said...his overall reaction was that
the commentators focusing on changing
how the climate issue is “framed” were
far too detached from the public
to have a meaningful idea of how
to make an impact. (Dr. Olson’s
forthcoming book, “Don’t
Be Such a Scientist,” aims
to help scientists communicate more
effectively with the rest of society.)
Below I’ve pasted what Dr.
Olson said he would have written
if asked whether there is a better
word, in the climate context, for
doom....
Everyone
associated with environmental communication
needs to read The Cluetrain
Mainfesto of 1999 and take it to
heart. The environmental struggle
is one big exercise in persuasion.
What the Cluetrain folks pointed
out is that humans respond to human
voices. You can “frame” all
you want, but if the communication
is coming from robots, the only ones
who will respond will be the robots....The
bottom line is it only takes a few
seconds for people to listen to a
voice and decide whether they trust
it or not. If that voice is devoid
of human qualities, and worse if
there is a clear sense that the voice
is speaking with “messages” that
have been “framed” and “focus
grouped,” it just ain’t
gonna work for the masses. And
double that for the younger masses.
...You can come up
with all the clever terms you want,
but if they are spoken by environmental
leaders who are perceived as cold,
calculating, and manipulative,
the broader audience will simply
disconnect. Not because of the
language, but because of their
basic instincts leading them to
not trust the voice they are hearing....
2009 January 19. More-Reflective
Crops May Have Cooling Effect. By
Henry Fountain, The New York Times.
Excerpt:
Some of the most imaginative solutions
to the problem of global climate
change involve planetary-scale geoengineering
projects to reduce the sunlight reaching
the Earth’s
surface. But proposals like building
a huge sunshade in space or seeding
the atmosphere with sulfate particles
would cost enormous sums and require
a degree of international cooperation
that is difficult to achieve.
Andy Ridgwell and colleagues at the
University of Bristol in England
have another idea, one they call
bio-geoengineering. Rather than developing
infrastructure to help cool the planet,
they propose using an existing one:
agriculture.
Their calculations, published in
Current Biology, suggest that by
planting crop varieties that reflect
more sunlight, summertime cooling
of about 2 degrees Fahrenheit could
be obtained across central North
America and a wide band of Europe
and Asia.
...Plants reflect slightly different
amounts of light depending on factors
like how waxy the leaves are. Even
differences in growth patterns between
two varieties of a crop — the
way leaves are arranged — can
affect reflectivity.
Existing varieties could be used,
Dr. Ridgwell said, or crops could
be bred or genetically engineered
for greater reflectivity (without
affecting yields, nutritional values
or other important characteristics)....
But it wouldn’t cost much,
and it wouldn’t require much
international cooperation. “It’s
very practical, and it could just
be done,” he said. “It’s
not some trillion-dollar pie-in-the-sky
idea.”
2008 October 30. Antarctica
hit by climate change. By Daniel Cressey,
Nature News. Excerpt:
In its landmark Fourth Assessment
Report, the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) declared
in 2007 that human influence on climate "has
been detected in every continent
except Antarctica". Now a paper
in Nature Geoscience says that our
impact can be found even in the last
wilderness.
..."The scarcity of observations
in the Antarctic makes it harder
to identify and attribute temperature
trends, but it does not make it impossible," says
climatologist Nathan Gillett of Environment
Canada, lead author of the new study.
Previous work has seen Antarctica
temperature records ranging from
1900 to the present day collated
into one data set. Gillett and his
colleagues compared changes detailed
in that data set with temperature
changes simulated in four different
climate models, running the models
both with and without human influence
factors.
Changes actually observed did not
fit with the models when only natural
climate changes and variability were
present. They were only explainable
when human influence on the climate
was taken into account.
..."Warming in both polar regions
has many potential impacts - for
example on ice-sheet melting, sea
level and on polar ecosystems," says
Gillett, who conducted the research
while working at the University of
East Anglia in Norwich, UK....
2008 August 30. Swimmer
aims to kayak to N Pole. BBC News. Excerpt:
Long-distance swimmer Lewis Pugh
plans to kayak 1200km (745 miles)
to the North Pole to raise awareness
of how global warming has melted
the ice sheet....
Lewis Pugh has spent his life swimming
long distances....
Now, after months of tuition from Hungarian
kayaking champion Robert Hegedus, Mr
Pugh wants to become the first man
to paddle to the North Pole.
"Nobody has ever attempted to
kayak to the pole before. In fact,
it would have been impossible last
year because it was frozen over," he
said.
This year, for the first time, scientists
predict that the North Pole could briefly
be ice free and that has inspired Mr
Pugh to try to find a way through.
On Saturday he is due to set off on
the 1200km (745 mile) expedition from
Norway to the North Pole - a journey
expected to take between two and three
weeks. A support ship will follow the
kayak to provide Mr Pugh with food
and respite from the brutal conditions.
...Until now, Lewis Pugh has been famous
for completing long distance swims
in all of the world's oceans. In 2006
the former lawyer swam the length of
the River Thames and then in 2007 he
swam 1km (0.6 miles) at the North Pole.
On both occasions Mr Pugh said he wanted
to raise awareness of global warming
and its affect on the polar regions....
2008 June 6. $45
trillion needed to combat warming. By Joeseph Coleman,
Associated Press. Excerpt: TOKYO
- The world needs to invest $45 trillion
in energy in coming decades, build
some 1,400 nuclear power plants and
vastly expand wind power in order
to halve greenhouse gas emissions
by 2050, according to an energy study
released Friday.
"Meeting this target of 50 percent
cut in emissions represents a formidable
challenge, and we would require immediate
policy action and technological transition
on an unprecedented scale," IEA
Executive Director Nobuo Tanaka said.
Environment ministers from the Group
of Eight industrialized countries
and Russia backed the 50 percent
target in a meeting in Japan last
month and called for it to be officially
endorsed at the G-8 summit in July.
The study said that an average of
35 coal-powered plants and 20 gas-powered
power plants would have to be fitted
with carbon capture and storage equipment
each year between 2010 and 2050.
In addition, the world would have
to construct 32 new nuclear power
plants each year, and wind-power
turbines would have to be increased
by 17,000 units annually. Nations
would have to achieve an eight-fold
reduction in carbon intensity — the
amount of carbon needed to produce
a unit of energy — in the transport
sector.
Such action would drastically reduce
oil demand to 27 percent of 2005
demand. Failure to act would lead
to a doubling of energy demand and
a 130 percent increase in carbon
dioxide emissions by 2050, IEA officials
said.
"This development is clearly
not sustainable," said Dolf
Gielen, an IEA energy analyst and
leader for the project.
Gielen said most of the $45 trillion
forecast investment — about
$27 trillion — would be borne
by developing countries, which will
be responsible for two-thirds of
greenhouse gas emissions by 2050...
2008 May 15. NASA
SATELLITE FINDS INTERIOR OF MARS
IS COLDER.
NASA RELEASE: 08-128. Excerpt:
WASHINGTON -- New observations
from NASA's Mars Reconnaissance
Orbiter indicate that the crust
and upper mantle of Mars are stiffer
and colder than previously thought.
The findings suggest any liquid
water that might exist below the
planet's surface and any possible
organisms living in that water, would
be located deeper than scientists
had suspected. [and here's the climate
part...] ...The radar pictures also
reveal four zones of finely spaced
layers of ice and dust separated
by thick layers of nearly pure ice.
Scientists think this pattern of
thick ice-free layers represents
cycles of climate change on Mars
on a time scale of roughly one million
years. Such climate changes are caused
by variations in the tilt of the
planet's rotational axis and in the
eccentricity of its orbit around
the sun. The observations support
the idea that the north polar ice
cap is geologically active and relatively
young, at about 4 million years.
2008 April 29. Court
Forces Government to Move on Polar
Bear Status. By
ANDREW C. REVKIN, NY Times. Excerpt:
...a Federal Court ruling today ...
forces the Bush administration to
decide by mid-May whether polar bears
deserve protection under the Endangered
Species Act because of Arctic impacts
from the warming climate. ...Dana
Perino, the White House press secretary,
...[said] in a briefing preceding
Mr. Bush's latest speech on climate,
the result was a looming "regulatory
train wreck. ...This would have the
Clean Air Act, the Endangered Species
Act, and the National Environmental
Policy Act all addressing climate
change in a way that is not the way
that they were intended to"
...the administration... is pushing
for new oil and gas drilling in polar
bear habitat while biologists for
Interior Department, prodded by legal
action, recommended the bear be given
threatened status under the species
act because of the warming of the
Arctic and summer retreat of sea
ice.
"Today's decision is a huge
victory for the polar bear," said
Kassie Siegel, climate program director
at the Center for Biological Diversity
and lead author of the 2005 petition,
filed by various environmental groups....
According to ...the Natural Resources
Defense Council, which joined in
the suit, the court rejected a request
by the Interior Department for more
time, saying: "Defendants offer
no specific facts that would justify
the existing delay, much less further
delay. To allow Defendants more time
would violate the mandated listing
deadlines under the ESA and congressional
intent that time is of the essence
in listing threatened species."
...The Bush administration has argued
in various courts, including the
Supreme Court, that such efforts
will fail because, among other things,
the "remedy" for limiting
global warming must be applied globally,
not just in the United States.
2008 April 12. Hurricane
Expert Reassesses Link to Warming.
By ANDREW C. REVKIN. The NY
Times. Excerpt:
A fresh study by a leading hurricane
researcher has raised new questions
about how hurricane strength and
frequency might, or might not, be
influenced by global warming. Eric
Berger of the Houston Chronicle nicely
summarized the research on Friday… That
work was supported by some subsequent
studies, but refuted by others. Despite
the uncertainty in the science, hurricanes
quickly became a potent icon in environmental
campaigns, as well as in "An
Inconvenient Truth," the popular
climate documentary featuring former
Vice President Al Gore. The message
was that global warming was no longer
a looming issue and was exacting
a deadly toll now.
The new study, in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological
Society, is hardly definitive in its own right, essentially raising
more questions than it resolves. But it definitely rolls back
Dr. Emanuel's sense of confidence about a recent role for global
warming. (The abstract
is here. A pdf
is downloadable on Dr. Emanuel's ftp page.)
On his SciGuy blog, Eric discusses some
of the ramifications of Dr. Emanuel's new storm study… They
are solid points that hold lessons for advocates on both sides
of the charged debate over climate science and its implications
for society. There are lessons here for journalists, too. Science
is a trajectory toward understanding, not a set of truths. Sometimes
that can be inconvenient, whether writing a headline or advocating
for a climate bill.
But somehow society has to learn how to be comfortable with this
aspect of the scientific enterprise, while not fuzzing out because
things aren't crystal clear. As Stephen Schneider, a veteran
climatologist at Stanford, recently mused, the question is, "Can
democracy survive complexity?" It's
clear that Dr. Emanuel's admonition about the need for a lot
more work applies beyond the realm of science,
as well.
2008 March 25. Link
to Global Warming in Frogs' Disappearance
Is Challenged.
By ANDREW C. REVKIN, NY Times. Excerpt:
The amphibians, of the genus Atelopus
- actually toads despite their common
name - once hopped in great numbers
along stream banks on misty slopes
from the Andes to Costa Rica. After
20 years of die-offs, they are listed
as critically endangered by conservation
groups and are mainly seen in zoos.
It looked as if one research
team was
a winner in 2006 when global warming
was identified as the "trigger" in
the extinctions by the authors of
a much-cited paper in
Nature...
The "bullet," the researchers
said, appeared to be a chytrid fungus
that has attacked amphibian populations
in many parts of the world but thrives
best in particular climate conditions.
The authors, led by J. Alan Pounds
of the Monteverde Cloud Forest Preserve
in Costa Rica, said, "Here we
show that a recent mass extinction
associated with pathogen outbreaks
is tied to global warming." The
study was featured in reports last
year by the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change.
Other researchers have been questioning
that connection. Last year, two short
responses in Nature questioned facets
of the 2006 paper.... Now, in the
March
25 issue of PLoS Biology,
another team argues that the die-offs
of harlequins and some other amphibians
reflect the spread and repeated introductions
of the chytrid fungus. They question
the analysis linking the disappearances
to climate change. In interviews
and e-mail exchanges, Dr. Pounds
and the lead author of the new paper,
Karen R. Lips of Southern Illinois
University, disputed each other's
analysis....
Ross A. Alford, a tropical biologist
at James Cook University in Townsville,
Australia, said such scientific tussles,
while important, could be a distraction,
particularly when considering the
uncertain risks attending global
warming. "Arguing about whether
we can or cannot already see the
effects," he said, "is
like sitting in a house soaked in
gasoline, having just dropped a lit
match, and arguing about whether
we can actually see the flames yet,
while waiting to see if maybe it
might go out on its own."
2008 Mar 18. Melting
Pace of Glaciers Is Accelerating,
Report Says By ANDREW
C. REVKIN Excerpt: Most of the world's
mountain glaciers, many of which
feed major rivers and water supplies,
are shrinking at an accelerating
pace as the climate warms, according
to a new report... issued Monday
by the World Glacier Monitoring Service,
which is based at the University
of Zurich and supported by the United
Nations Environment Program. ...The
study included data from 30 glaciers
spread around nine mountainous regions.
...The big danger ahead, several
glacier experts said, is that the
loss of glaciers would take away
a summertime source of river water,
drinking water and hydroelectric
power in populous, relatively poor
places like South Asia and the cities
along the western slope of the Andes.
"Millions of people depend on
the runoff from mountain snow and
ice in the warm seasons," said
Peter Gleick, who has studied water
and climate for two decades and is
the president of the Pacific Institute,
a private research group in Oakland,
Calif. "Climate change is going
to make that runoff disappear."
2007
November 28. McKinsey
Report on Carbon Reductions.
2007
November 20. "The
Sky is Falling." Short
video that won the Ecospot Award.
2007 December
10. Al
Gore's Nobel Prize acceptance speech.
2007 December
3. Climate
Talks Take on Added Urgency
After Report. By
PETER GELLING and ANDREW C. REVKIN,
NY Times. Excerpt:
JAKARTA, Indonesia, Dec. 2 - Thousands
of government officials, industry
lobbyists, environmental campaigners
and observers are arriving on the
Indonesian island of Bali for two
weeks of talks starting Monday that
are aimed at breathing new life into
the troubled 15-year-old global climate
treaty.
A heightened sense of urgency surrounds
the meeting in light of a report
issued last month by the United Nations
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change, which detailed the potentially
devastating effects of global warming
in the panel's strongest language
yet.
...By far, the biggest obstacle to
forging a new accord by 2009 is the
United States, analysts say. Senior
Bush administration officials say
the administration will not agree
to a new treaty with binding limits
on emissions.
Instead, President Bush recently
proposed that the world's biggest
countries work toward a common, long-term
goal set decades in the future, without
specific targets or limits, and more
immediate goals set by individual
nations using whatever means they
choose.
In his latest statement on climate
change last Wednesday, Mr. Bush said, "Our
guiding principle is clear: we must
lead the world to produce fewer greenhouse
gas emissions, and we must do it
in a way that does not undermine
economic growth or prevent nations
from delivering greater prosperity
for their people."
...The United States will soon stand
alone among industrialized nations
in its refusal to ratify the Kyoto
Protocol, with the new Australian
prime minister, Kevin Rudd, having
said in no uncertain terms that his
country would now ratify it.
"The Bush administration is
the only government in the world
that is opposed to mandatory emissions
reductions being included in a new
treaty," said Philip Clapp,
the deputy managing director of the
Pew Environment Group, based in Washington. "The
question is, will they block others
from moving forward."
While most developing countries -
including China, which is poised
to overtake the United States as
the largest source of greenhouse
gases - have agreed to negotiate
treaties that require richer nations
to reduce emissions, they remain
opposed to taking on such mandatory
limits themselves....
2007 November 23. The
'Geo-Engineering' Scenario. Why
even a desperate measure is starting
to look reasonable. By
Sharon Begley, Newsweek Web Exclusive.
Excerpt:
After decades spent studying volcanoes,
Alan Robock can list 20 reasons
why humans should not try to play
God with the world's climate by,
well, mimicking Krakatoa. Proponents
of "geo-engineering" actually
like the idea because the eruptions
spread sulfate aerosols and other
particles throughout the planet's
atmosphere, reflecting incoming sunlight.
The resulting cooling might counter
the global warming caused by carbon
dioxide and other greenhouse gases.
But that's not all sulfates do, which
is where Robock's list comes in.
The particles also deplete the planet's
ozone layer, which is just starting
to repair itself now that ozone-shredding
chemicals are banned. They cause
acid rain, too. And by cooling large
land masses like Asia and Africa,
the heat-reflecting particles reduce
the temperature difference between
them and the already-cooler oceans,
which could stifle the monsoons that
millions of people depend on for
agriculture. Because the particles
block direct sunlight more than diffuse
rays, they also alter the balance
of radiation reaching Earth's surface,
with unknown consequences for plants
that can be kind of finicky about
the kind of sunlight they need.
And yet É In a sign of how
dangerous global warming is starting
to look and of how pitiful the world's
efforts to control greenhouse gases
are, even Robock-list and all-hedges
his bets. Geo-engineering, allows
the Rutgers University meteorologist, "might
be held in reserve for an emergency."
...Studies of volcanoes established
what amount of particles produces
how much cooling, as well as how
the particles spread and how long
they remain aloft (a year or two).
Knowing this, it should be possible
to roll back the global warming projected
for 2100 enough to return the planet
to its climate of 1900, Damon Matthews
and Ken Caldeira of the Carnegie
Institution reported in June.
The devil, however, is in the details.
Injecting sulfates into the atmosphere-by
lofting big, aerosol-filled balloons
or rockets-would reduce global precipitation
to below the levels of 1900, their
study showed, threatening agriculture.
Cooling would be uneven, with some
regions benefiting more than others....
2007 November 17. IPCC
- 4: the final,
synthesis report from the International
Panel on Climate Change.
2007 November 13. Challenges
to Both Left and Right on Global
Warming.
By ANDREW C. REVKIN. NY Times. Excerpt:
For many years, the battle over what
to think and do about human-caused
climate change and fossil fuels has
been waged mostly as a yelling match
between the political and environmental
left and the right.
The left says global warming is a
real-time crisis requiring swift
curbs on smokestack and tailpipe
gases that trap heat, and that big
oil, big coal and antiregulatory
conservatives are trashing the planet.
The right says global warming is
somewhere between a hoax and a minor
irritant, and argues that liberals'
thirst for top-down regulations will
drive American wealth to developing
countries and turn off the fossil-fueled
engine powering the economy.
Some books mirror the divide, like
the recent "Field Notes from
a Catastrophe," ...by Elizabeth
Kolbert, and "The Politically
Incorrect Guide to Global Warming" by
Chris Horner, a lawyer for the Competitive
Enterprise Institute. Ms. Kolbert
sounds a strong warning call, and
Mr. Horner's book fits with the position
of the institute, a libertarian and
largely industry-backed group that
strongly opposes limits on greenhouse
gases.
But in three other recent books,
there seems to be a bit of a warming
trend between the two camps. Instead
of bashing old foes, the authors,
all influential voices in the climate
debate with roots on the left or
the right, tend to chide their own
political brethren and urge a move
to the pragmatic center on climate
and energy.
All have received mixed reviews and
generated heated Internet debate
... "A Contract With the Earth," Mr.
Gingrich, ... a manifesto challenging
conservatives not just to grudgingly
accept, but to embrace, the idea
that a healthy environment is necessary
for a healthy democracy and economy.
... Ted Nordhaus and Michael Shellenberger
in "Break Through: From the
Death of Environmentalism to the
Politics of Possibility." ...call
for an aggressive effort to invest
in energy research, while also building
societies that can be resilient in
the face of the warming that is already
unavoidable....
2007 October 8. Expert
Studies Climate Change in Arctic.
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS. Excerpt:
OTTAWA (AP) -- Climate change may
make Arctic energy resources easier
to reach but it could also make
them harder to exploit because
of changes to sea ice, a U.S. scientist
said ahead of an international oil
and ice conference in Alaska.
Hajo Eicken, a University of Alaska
scientist, is one of the presenters
from at least five countries scheduled
to speak about oil spills in ice-choked
waters at a conference in Anchorage,
Alaska, that starts Wednesday.
Eicken said ...''Conditions are more
variable, less predictable. Even
in winter, when normally you would
expect to see the landfast ice to
be stable and locked in place, we're
starting to see ... larger tracts
of landfast ice detach from shore
and drift out to sea,'' Eicken said.
The conference is organized by Ottawa-based
SL Ross Environmental Research Ltd.
2007 September 20. STUDENTS
DISPLACED BY KATRINA TO ASSESS
CLIMATE CHANGE.
The World
Wildlife Fund and the Allianz Foundation
for North America have announced
a new opportunity for high school
students displaced by Katrina and
now residing in nine U.S. cities
to assess the climate change vulnerability
of the Southeastern United States. "As
these displaced students know from
being on the frontlines, we're all
increasingly vulnerable to climate
change," said Dr. Lara Hansen
chief climate scientist, World Wildlife
Fund. "Now they have a unique
chance to shape the future of their
region -- by exploring the science
of what's happening and using what
they discover to inspire action." The
project will give participating youth
an opportunity this spring to learn
more about the science of climate
change by working closely with scientists,
using scientific tools for exploring
and explaining regional vulnerability.
Through this project, 25 students
will be chosen to assess the vulnerability
of the Southeastern United States
to climate change from public schools
in New Orleans and Baton Rouge, LA;
Gulf Port, Jackson, and Biloxi, MI;
Mobile and Birmingham, AL; Atlanta,
GA; and Nashville, TN. Participants
will receive a $1500 stipend and
an HP laptop computer for their college
studies. Selected students will also
attend Climate Camp in June 2008
as well as a Youth Summit in Washington
D.C. July 7-11, 2008. Nationally,
teachers can use a curriculum on
climate change designed for high
school students to integrate climate
change into their lessons and equip
students for future responsibility
and leadership.
2007 July 31. A
CONVERSATION WITH HEIDI CULLEN--Into
the Limelight, and the Politics
of Global Warming.
By CLAUDIA DREIFUS, NY Times. Excerpt:
Heidi Cullen is the only climatologist
with a Ph.D. in the country who has
her own weekly show, a half-hour-long
video-magazine focused on climate
and the environment. ...In June 2002,
Heidi Cullen, a researcher at the
National Center for Atmospheric Research
in Boulder, Colo., received a telephone
call from an executive at the Weather
Channel. Would she audition for a
program on climate and global warming
that producers at the Atlanta-based
cable television network were contemplating?...
Q: What were you studying when you
got that call from the Weather Channel?
A: I was trying to understand the
large-scale mechanisms that had caused
a drought in Afghanistan from 1999
to 2001. I was also working with
engineers in Brazil and Paraguay
to apply climate forecasts to optimize
water resource management at Itaipu
Binacional, the largest operational
hydropower facility in the world.
I hesitated when I got that call.
Television was a world I couldn't
imagine. No one I knew had ever done
anything like that....
Q: Your coverage of global warming
has been controversial. Are you surprised?
A: In a way, yes. To me, global warming
isn't a political issue, it's a scientific
one. But a lot of people out there
think you're being an advocate when
you talk climate science....
Q: Rush Limbaugh accused you of Stalinism.
Did you suggest that meteorologists
who doubt global warming should be
fired?
A: I didn't exactly say that. I was
talking about the American Meteorological
Society's seal of approval. I was
saying the A.M.S. should test applicants
on climate change as part of their
certification process. They test
on other aspects of weather science.
A lot of viewers want to know about
climate change. They are experiencing
events they perceive as unusual and
they want to know if there's a connection
to global warming. Certainly when
Katrina hit, they wanted to know
if it was global warming or not.
Most Americans get their daily dose
of science through their televised
weather report. Given that fact,
I think it's the responsibility of
broadcast meteorologists to provide
viewers with scientific answers....
2007 July 8. Wealthy
Nantucket Homeowners Stake $25
Million in a War With the Sea.
Cornelia Dean, The New York Times. "When
erosion became a serious threat
to bluff-top homes in the village
of Siasconset on the island's southeast
shore and homeowners decided to
fight back by replenishing the
beach, cost was not an issue. About
two dozen of the owners joined
with other island residents to
form the Sconset Beach Preservation
Fund, whose members are seeking
permission to spend at least $25
million of their own money to dredge
2.6 million cubic yards of sand
from a few miles offshore and pump
it onto a 3.1-mile stretch of beach
in Siasconset, or Sconset, as it
is called here. They realize that
the sand will inevitably wash away,
so they are prepared to do much
of the work all over again, perhaps
as often as every five years. If
the sand had to be transported
by dump trucks, it could take 260,000
trips at 10 cubic yards a trip. Instead,
it will be dredged up from the ocean
bottom, mixed with water and pumped
to shore as a slurry that will spew
out onto the beach."
July - August 2007. Global
Meltdown.
By Andrew Revkin, for AARP magazine.
Excerpt: It's becoming a legacy issue
for older Americans: what type of
planet are we leaving our children?
One of the nation's top reporters
on the environment reveals the latest
science behind climate change.
KANGERLUSSUAQ, GREENLAND ...Great
warmings and coolings have sent ocean
levels rising and falling as enormous
amounts of water were locked in glaciers
or released like the flows we see
here in Greenland.
But the current warming trend is
happening much faster than previous
hot spells, says [snow scientist,
Joe] McConnell, and none of the forces
that usually affect climate-such
as variations in the sun's strength-are
in sync with this recent change.
Should these patterns continue, he
believes, the consequences are clear. "If
Greenland melted, it'd raise sea
levels by twenty feet," he explains. "There
goes most of the Mississippi embayment.
There go the islands in the South
Pacific. Bangladesh is obliterated.
Manhattan would have to put up dikes." A
similar amount of ice is vulnerable
in western Antarctica, another focus
of McConnell's work. While this would
most likely be a slow-motion sea
change taking many centuries, gases
being pumped into the atmosphere
by cars, planes, factories, and power
plants could raise the odds of such
a shift.
...It may be that what we face is
less a climate crisis than an energy
challenge. Many experts believe the
key to limiting climate risks and
solving a host of momentous problems-including
the end of abundant oil-is to begin
an ambitious quest for new ways to
conserve, harvest, and store energy
without creating pollution.
Harnessing the power of the sun remains
the Holy Grail of most energy experts.
But research on solar technologies
remains tiny in scale, though the
potential has been clear for decades.
Consider this incredibly prescient
quote: "I'd put my money on
the sun and solar energy. What a
source of power! I hope we don't
have to wait until oil and coal run
out before we tackle that."
The year? 1931. The speaker? Thomas
Edison....
2007 May 1. Recruiting
Plankton to Fight Global Warming.
The New York Times - MATT RICHTEL.
Excerpt:
SAN FRANCISCO, April 30 - Can plankton
help save the planet? ...Planktos,
an "ecorestoration company," will
deploy a ship to dissolve tons of
iron, an essential plankton nutrient,
over a 10,000-square-kilometer patch
of ocean. ...In an effort to ameliorate
the effects of global warming, several
groups are working on ventures to
grow vast floating fields of plankton
intended to absorb carbon dioxide
from the atmosphere and carry it
to the depths of the ocean. ... the
first commercial project is scheduled
to get under way this month when
the WeatherBird II, a 115-foot research
vessel, heads out from its dock in
Florida to the Gal‡pagos and
the South Pacific. The ship plans
to dissolve tons of iron, an essential
plankton nutrient, over a 10,000-square-kilometer
patch. ...When the trace iron prompts
growth and reproduction of the tiny
organism, scientists on the WeatherBird
II plan to measure how much carbon
dioxide the plankton ingests. The
idea is similar to planting forests
full of carbon-inhaling trees, but
in desolate stretches of ocean. "This
is organic gardening, not rocket
science," said Russ George,
the chief executive of Planktos,
the company behind the WeatherBird
II project. "Can it possibly
be as easy as we say it is? We're
about to find out."....
2007 April 28. It's
Maple Syrup Time, So Why the Whiff
of French Fries? The New York
Times - SAM HOOPER SAMUELS. Excerpt:
WESTMINSTER, Vt. - ...To do his
bit to stave off global warming,
Mr. Crocker this year converted
his sugar house from regular fuel
oil to used vegetable oil. Such oil,
sometimes pumped into the tanks of
environmentally friendly "grease
cars," can
also be used as an alternative to
heating oil. While a dwindling number
of small, traditional sugar makers
still boil their sap over wood fires,
the majority burn heating oil, a
fossil fuel that contributes to global
warming. Derived from living plants
rather than fossil fuels, used vegetable
oil adds little or no carbon dioxide
to the atmosphere. Mr. Crocker buys
his from a company that collects
it as a waste product from restaurants,
then filters and processes out the
dirt and impurities. By converting
from traditional oil, Mr. Crocker
is taking a stand for the environment.
As an industry, Vermont's maple sugaring
is highly vulnerable to climate change.
Last year, of the 1.45 million gallons
produced in the United States, nearly
a third came from Vermont. The entire
year's harvest of sap is gathered
during a short season, which generally
begins in March and ends by early
April. ...That short season of daily
freeze-thaw cycles is getting shorter. "Right
now, the season is starting about
a week earlier throughout New England
than it did 40 years ago," said
Timothy Perkins, director of the
Proctor Maple Research Center at
the University of Vermont, who has
been warning of the challenge posed
by global warming for a while now. "And
it's ending about 10 days earlier
than it did. Over 40 years, we've
lost a net of three days of the season." Three
days may not sound like much. But
because the season lasts only about
a month, it represents about a 10
percent reduction in the crop....
2007 April 3. Reports
From Four Fronts in the War on
Warming. By
ANDREW C. REVKIN. NY Times. Excerpt:
Over the last few decades, as scientists
have intensified their study of the
human effects on climate and of the
effects of climate change on humans,
a common theme has emerged: in both
respects, the world is a very unequal
place. ...Those most vulnerable countries
also tend to be the poorest. And
the countries that face the least
harm - and that are best equipped
to deal with the harm they do face
- tend to be the richest. ...Around
the world, there are abundant examples
of how wealth is already enabling
some countries to gird against climatic
and coastal risks, while poverty,
geography and history place some
of the world's most crowded, vulnerable
regions directly in harm's way. ...[Article
contains] four views of the climate
divide. Malawi ...Australia ...India
...The Netherlands....
2007 April 1. Poor
Nations to Bear Brunt as World
Warms. The New York
Times. By ANDREW C. REVKIN Excerpt:
The world's richest countries, which
have contributed by far the most
to the atmospheric changes linked
to global warming, are already spending
billions of dollars to limit their
own risks from its worst consequences,
like drought and rising seas. But
despite longstanding treaty commitments
to help poor countries deal with
warming, these industrial powers
are spending just tens of millions
of dollars on ways to limit climate
and coastal hazards in the world's
most vulnerable regions - most of
them close to the equator and overwhelmingly
poor. ..."The inequity of this
whole situation is really enormous
if you look at who's responsible
and who's suffering as a result," said
Rajendra K. Pachauri, chairman of
the United Nations climate panel.
...The lack of climate aid persists
even though nearly all the world's
industrialized nations, including
the United States under the first
President Bush, pledged to help when
they signed the first global warming
treaty, the Framework Convention
on Climate Change, in 19927 March 2007. If
we want to save the planet, we need
a five-year freeze on biofuels.
George Monbiot, The Guardian. Excerpt:
Oil produced from plants sets up competition
for food between cars and people. People
- and the environment - will lose....The
governments using biofuel to tackle
global warming know that it causes
more harm than good. But they plough
on regardless. In theory, fuels made
from plants can reduce the amount of
carbon dioxide emitted by cars and
trucks. Plants absorb carbon as they
grow - it is released again when the
fuel is burned. By encouraging oil
companies to switch from fossil plants
to living ones, governments on both
sides of the Atlantic claim to be "decarbonising" our
transport networks. ...So what's wrong
with these programmes? ...Already we
know that biofuel is worse for the
planet than petroleum. The UN has just
published a report suggesting that
98% of the natural rainforest in Indonesia
will be degraded or gone by 2022. Just
five years ago, the same agencies predicted
that this wouldn't happen until 2032.
But they reckoned without the planting
of palm oil to turn into biodiesel
for the European market. This is now
the main cause of deforestation there
and it is likely soon to become responsible
for the extinction of the orangutan
in the wild....2....
2007 March 14. Renewing
a Call to Act Against Climate Change.
By FELICITY BARRINGER, NY Times. Excerpt:
MIDDLEBURY, Vt. - ...Bill McKibben
... is 46, his role as the philosopher-impresario
of the program of climate-change
rallies called Step It Up, .... His
online call for locally inspired,
locally run demonstrations on April
14 has generated plans for a wave
of small protests under the Step
It Up banner - 870 and counting,
in 49 states (not South Dakota) -
to walk, jog, march, ski, swim, talk,
sing, pray and party around the idea
of cutting national emissions of
heat-trapping gases 80 percent by
2050. Skiers in Wyoming plan to descend
a shrinking glacier. New Yorkers
plan to form an unbroken human line
(dress code: blue shirts) along what
might be the new southern shoreline
of Manhattan. A group of Dominican
sisters and a Wisconsin environmental
group are organizing a conference
on Sisinawa Mound overlooking the
Mississippi River.... Mr. McKibben
also noted in a column on the environmental
Web site Grist.org that popular momentum
had lagged. "We don't have a
movement," he
wrote. "The largest rally yet
held in the U.S. about global warming
drew a thousand people. If we're
going to make the kind of change
we need in the short time left us,
we need something that looks like
the civil rights movement, and we
need it now. Changing light bulbs
just isn't enough." ...Van Jones,
director the Ella Baker Center for
Human Rights in Oakland, Calif.,
is one of relatively few black community
organizers to find common cause with
those calling for drastic cuts in
emissions from the country's tailpipes
and smokestacks. Such changes could
make poor peoples' electrical bills
go up. But Mr. Jones says climate
change will hit the poor first and
harder than any increase in their
electricity. "Two thousand seven
is the year that global warming will
become a marching issue; 2008 is
the year it will become a voting
issue," Mr.
Jones said. "McKibben is one
of the main drivers in moving this
thing from the cafes and blogs into
the streets."....
13 March 2007. From
a Rapt Audience, a Call to Cool
the Hype. By WILLIAM
J. BROAD. NY Times. Excerpt:
Hollywood has a thing for Al Gore
and his three-alarm film on global
warming, "An
Inconvenient Truth," .... But
part of his scientific audience is
uneasy... alarmed, some say, at what
they call his alarmism. "I don't
want to pick on Al Gore," Don
J. Easterbrook, an emeritus professor
of geology at Western Washington
University, told hundreds of experts
at the annual meeting of the Geological
Society of America. "But there
are a lot of inaccuracies in the
statements we are seeing, and we
have to temper that with real data." ...Some
backers concede minor inaccuracies
but see them as reasonable for a
politician. James E. Hansen, ...director
of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space
Studies and a top adviser to Mr.
Gore, said, "Al does an exceptionally
good job of seeing the forest for
the trees," adding that Mr.
Gore often did so "better than
scientists." Still, Dr. Hansen
said, the former vice president's
work may hold "imperfections" and "technical
flaws." He pointed to hurricanes,
an icon for Mr. Gore, who highlights
the devastation of Hurricane Katrina
and cites research suggesting that
global warming will cause both storm
frequency and deadliness to rise.
Yet this past Atlantic season produced
fewer hurricanes than forecasters
predicted (five versus nine), and
none that hit the United States. "We
need to be more careful in describing
the hurricane story than he is," Dr.
Hansen said of Mr. Gore. "On
the other hand," Dr. Hansen
said, "he has the bottom line
right: most storms, at least those
driven by the latent heat of vaporization,
will tend to be stronger, or have
the potential to be stronger, in
a warmer climate."...the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change... estimated
that the world's seas in this century
would rise a maximum of 23 inches
- down from earlier estimates. Mr.
Gore, citing no particular time frame,
envisions rises of up to 20 feet
and depicts parts of New York, Florida
and other heavily populated areas
as sinking beneath the waves, implying,
at least visually, that inundation
is imminent. ..."Nowhere does
Mr. Gore tell his audience that all
of the phenomena that he describes
fall within the natural range of
environmental change on our planet," Robert
M. Carter, a marine geologist at
James Cook University in Australia,
said....
March 2007 Exxon
Exposed. Catalyst
magazine, Union of Concerned Scientists.
By Emily Robinson.Excerpt:
While publicly expressing concern
about global warming, oil giant
ExxonMobil has quietly funded organizations
that portray climate science as
uncertain. The disinformation strategy
parallels the tobacco industry's
campaign to confuse the public about
the dangers of smoking. ...As concern
over global warming has grown, some
oil companies such as BP, Occidental
Petroleum, and Shell have made public
commitments to reducing their heat-trapping
emissions and have begun investing
in clean energy technologies. ExxonMobil
has made no such commitment, instead
choosing to confuse the public's
understanding of the problem.
...Scientific Spokespeople Affiliated
with ExxonMobil-funded Groups
Sallie Baliunas Annapolis Center
for Science Based Public Policy;
Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow;
Competitive Enterprise Institute;
George C. Marshall Institute; Global
Climate Coalition; Heartland Institute;
Heritage Foundation; Hoover Institution
on War, Revolution and Peace; Tech
Central Station
Robert C. Balling, Jr. Cato Institute;
Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow;
Heritage Foundation; International
Policy Network; Tech Central Station
John Christy Competitive Enterprise
Institute; Independent Institute....
March 2007. Will
the Northeast Be the Next Dixie? Catalyst magazine,
Union of Concerned Scientists. By
Erika Spanger-Siegfried. Excerpt:
Without deep cuts in heat-trapping
emissions, summers in New York near
the end of the century may feel as
hot as Georgia summers do today.
Fortunately,
it's not too late to preserve the
traditional character of our northeastern
states.
...In recent decades, ... the characteristic
climate of the Northeast has begun
to change dramatically. Between 1970
and 2000 alone, summer temperatures
rose about one degree Fahrenheit
(¼F) and winter temperatures
rose nearly 4 ¼F. Spring is
arriving sooner, summers are growing
hotter, and winters are becoming
warmer and less snowy.
...If global warming emissions continue
unabated, a number of large northeastern
cities could experience triple the
number of days over 90 ¡F by
mid-century. In the latter part of
the century, most of these cities
could experience more than 60 days
per year with temperatures topping
90 ¡F, and some could experience
as many as 80 days. With lower emissions,
roughly half this increase is expected.
...Emphasizing the regional consequences
of global warming can motivate local
policy makers.
The findings of the October 2006
NECIA report Climate Change in the
U.S. Northeast have not only received
the attention of the region's media
but its policy makers as well.
...To download the full report (in
PDF format) visit the Union of Concerned
Scientists' Climate Choices website
(http://www.climatechoices.org/ne).
....
March 2007. Carbon offset calculator
- Native Energy
13 February 2007. Companies
Pressed to Define Green Policies.
By CLAUDIA H. DEUTSCH, NY Times.
Excerpt:
Tracey C. Rembert, the coordinator
of corporate governance and engagement
for the Service Employees International
Union, acknowledges that Wells
Fargo is the country's largest
purchaser of renewable energy offsets
and has specialists on staff studying
all of the implications of climate
change on its businesses. Still,
Ms. Rembert's union has filed a
shareholder's resolution asking
Wells Fargo to specify how it is
addressing both the risks and market
opportunities presented by global
warming.... "We want
them to rethink their business, and
set themselves up to take strategic
advantage of climate change," Ms.
Rembert said. The New York City Comptroller's
Office feels the same way about Dominion
Resources, an electric power and
natural gas company, and Massey Energy,
a coal mining company. The Sierra
Club Mutual Fund feels that way about
the retailer Bed Bath & Beyond,
and the Calvert Group about ACE Insurance.
All of them are calling upon companies
to provide proof that their business
decisions also consider issues involving
climate change.... According to Ceres,
a coalition of investors and environmental
groups, investors have filed 42 resolutions
asking for such information during
the 2007 proxy season, up from 31
last year. And today, Ceres will
issue a list of 10 companies that
shareholders say are not looking
at climate change through an investor's
eye and may not be investing in alternative
energy technologies. "This has
nothing to do with social investing," the
president of Ceres, Mindy S. Lubber,
said. "These investors are owners
who want the companies to stop being
laggards when it comes to minimizing
risk and taking advantage of opportunities."....
13 February 2007. A
Cool $25 Million for a Climate
Backup Plan. By JOHN
TIERNEY, NY Times. Excerpt:
On Friday, when Richard Branson offered
a $25 million prize to anyone who
figures out how to remove a billion
tons of carbon dioxide per year from
the atmosphere, Al Gore sat by his
side and called it an "important
and welcome" initiative. ...may
be the start of competitions that
ultimately yield nanobots or microbes
capable of gobbling up carbon dioxide.
As far-fetched as it seems today,
removing carbon dioxide from the
atmosphere could turn out to be a
lot more practical than the alternative:
persuading six billion people to
stop putting it there. ...the Gulf
Stream scenario ...about it shutting
down and sending Europe into an ice
age, ..., originated by a 19th-century
oceanographer, is "the earth-science
equivalent of an urban legend," in
the words of Richard Seager, a climate
modeler at the Lamont-Doherty Earth
Observatory of Columbia University....
February 2007. Political
Science: A Report on Science and
Censorship at National. Produced
by Coalition
Against Censorship. NCAC
promotes and defend First Amendment
values of freedom of thought, inquiry
and expression.
12 December 2006. The
Cost of an Overheated Planet.
By STEVE LOHR. Published: NY Times.
Excerpt:
The iconic culprit in global warming
is the coal-fired power plant.
It burns the dirtiest, most carbon-laden
of fuels, and its smokestacks belch
millions of tons of carbon dioxide,
the main global warming gas. So
it is something of a surprise that
James E. Rogers, chief executive
of Duke Energy, a coal-burning
utility in the Midwest and the
Southeast, has emerged as an unexpected
advocate of federal regulation
that would for the first time impose
a cost for emitting carbon dioxide.
But he has his reasons. "Climate
change is real, and we clearly believe
we are on a route to mandatory controls
on carbon dioxide," Mr. Rogers
said. "And we need to start
now because the longer we wait, the
more difficult and expensive this
is going to be." ..."Setting
a real price on carbon emissions
is the single most important policy
step to take," said Robert N.
Stavins, director of the environmental
economics program at Harvard University. "Pricing
is the way you get both the short-term
gains through efficiency and the
longer-term gains from investments
in research and switching to cleaner
fuels." ...Mr. Rogers, who is
also chairman of the Edison Electric
Institute,... are also pushing for
a carbon dioxide-pricing policy to
reduce the risk to their companies.
...The two methods of pricing carbon
are to charge a tax on each ton of
carbon dioxide emitted into the air,
or to place a cap on total emissions
and then let polluters trade permits
to emit a ton of carbon dioxide.
Economists like William D. Nordhaus
of Yale and Mr. Cooper of Harvard
... suggested an initial tax around
$14 a ton of carbon dioxide emitted,
which he calculated would translate
roughly into a 100 percent tax on
coal and add 12 cents to each gallon
of gasoline. Such a tax would raise
as much as $80 billion a year in
the United States. ...a cap-and-trade
system ... limit would be placed
on overall emissions, with polluters
allocated permits. Then, companies
able to go below their emission targets
would be allowed to sell their unused "permits
to pollute" to companies that
could not. ... developing nations
like China and India, energy specialists
say, would certainly avoid joining
any international effort on global
warming without an emphatic move
by the United States....
27 November 2006. Changing
Climate Is Forcing World Cup Organizers
to Adapt, By NATHANIEL VINTON Excerpt:
Nov. 26 - High temperatures in
Europe have disrupted the Alpine
skiing World Cup, throwing the
calendar of the sport's premier
circuit into disarray and raising
questions about the future of
a sport so vulnerable to climate
change. "It will very quickly
be a big crisis for us if we continue
canceling races in December," said
Atle Skaardal, who oversees the
women's portion of the tour for
the International Ski Federation.
On Saturday, race organizers
in St. Moritz, Switzerland, canceled
World Cup races scheduled for
Dec. 9-10, saying temperatures
were too high for them to make
artificial snow. Men's races
scheduled for that weekend in
Val d'Isere, France, are in peril,
too, and the International Ski
Federation, which runs the World
Cup, will make a decision about
that race Wednesday. There is
a chance that some of the canceled
events will be relocated to Colorado,
where forecasters predict a heavy
snowstorm over the early part
of the week. Until Wednesday,
when the F.I.S. makes its final
decision about the European races,
a number of World Cup athletes
are stranded in the United States,
looking for training venues and
accommodations. Others will go
home, and possibly fly back if
the races are indeed rescheduled
at Aspen or Beaver Creek - the
two resorts considering adopting
the canceled European races.
In recent years, managers of
some of the highest ski resorts
in the Alps have taken the extreme
measure of wrapping glaciers
and snowfields with foam insulation
to decelerate the ravages of
summer heat. Resorts that do
chose to have World Cup races
- especially those early in the
season - have always cast a worried
eye on late-arriving winters.
They run the risk of a major
financial hit, both in operational
costs and lost television marketing
value. Resorts playing host to
World Cup events must provide
at least 100,000 Euros ($131,352)
in prize money for each race,
production of a live television
broadcast feed, and accommodations
for athletes and team staff.
22 November 2006. Co-op
America's 12-Step Plan for Climate
Action. Excerpt:
...Scientists at the Princeton
University's Carbon Mitigation
Initiative (CMI) ...propose stabilizing
carbon emissions by ... doable
action "wedges" of
equal size-each with the capacity
to reduce carbon emissions by 1 billion
tons/year by 2054. ...Here at Co-op
America, we ... screened out measures
that are too dangerous, costly, and
slow (like nuclear power plants,
synfuels, and "clean" coal),
and we beefed up those that are safe
and cost-effective. ...Here's our
12-step plan:
1. Increase fuel economy for the
world's 2 billion cars ... 30 mpg
to 60 mpg.
2. Cut back on driving. Decrease
from 10,000 to 5,000 miles per year....
3. Increase energy efficiency ...in
existing buildings and appliances....
4. Decrease tropical deforestation
to zero, ...double ...new tree plantings.
5. Stop soil erosion. ...Encourage
local, organic agriculture.
6. Increase wind power. Add 3 million
1-MW windmills, 75x current....
7. ...solar power. Add 3,000 GW-peak
...photovoltaic units, 1,000x current....
8. Increase efficiency of coal plants
from ...32% efficiency to 60%....
9. Replace 1,400 GW of coal with
natural gas, a 4x increase ....
10. Sequester carbon dioxide at existing
coal plants....
11. Develop ...plug-in hybrids and
electric vehicles powered by renewable
energy.
12. Develop biomass as a short-term
replacement for fossil fuel....
12 September 2006. A
CONVERSATION WITH JAMES E. LOVELOCK:
Updating Prescriptions for Avoiding Worldwide Catastrophe,
By ANDREW C. REVKIN. NY Times.
September 2006. Arctic
sea ice continues "drastic" melting. Earth & Sky
Radio Show.
27 June 2006. THE
ENERGY CHALLENGE | EXOTIC VISIONS
- How to Cool a Planet (Maybe). By
WILLIAM J. BROAD. Excerpts: In
the past few decades, a handful
of scientists have come up with
big, futuristic ways to fight global
warming: Build sunshades in orbit
to cool the planet. Tinker with
clouds to make them reflect more
sunlight back into space. Trick
oceans into soaking up more heat-trapping
greenhouse gases.
...Dr. Angel outlined a plan to put into orbit small lenses that
would bend sunlight away from earth - trillions of lenses, he
now calculates, each about two feet wide, extraordinarily thin
and weighing little more than a butterfly.
... Paul J. Crutzen ...paper newly examines the risks and benefits
of trying to cool the planet by injecting sulfur into the stratosphere.
...Dr. Broecker of Columbia proposed doing so by lacing the stratosphere
with tons of sulfur dioxide, as erupting volcanoes occasionally
do. The injections, he calculated in the 80's, would require
a fleet of hundreds of jumbo jets and, as a byproduct, would
increase acid rain. By 1997, such futuristic visions found a
prominent advocate in Edward Teller, a main inventor of the hydrogen
bomb. "Injecting sunlight-scattering particles into the
stratosphere appears to be a promising approach," Dr. Teller
wrote in The Wall Street Journal. "Why not do that?" ...
John Latham, an atmospheric physicist at the National Center
for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, told how he and his colleagues
had unsuccessfully sought for many years to test whether spraying
saltwater mists into low ocean clouds might increase their reflectivity.
...Other plans called for reflective films to be laid over deserts
or white plastic islands to be floated on the world's oceans,
both as ways to reflect more sunlight into space. Another idea
was to fertilize the sea with iron, creating vast blooms of plants
that would gulp down tons of carbon dioxide and, as the plants
died, drag the carbon into the abyss. ...Critics of geoengineering
argued that it made more sense to avoid global warming than to
gamble on risky fixes. They called for reducing energy use, developing
alternative sources of power and curbing greenhouse gases....
13 June 2006. Atlantic
Hurricane Trends Linked to Climate
Change.
Michael E. Mann, EOS TRANSACTIONS,
AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION, Vol.
87, No. 24, pp. 233-244. Excerpt:
Increases in key measures of Atlantic
hurricane activity over recent decades
are believed to reflect, in large
part, contemporaneous increases in
tropical Atlantic warmth [e.g., Emanuel,
2005]. Some recent studies [e.g.,
Goldenberg et al., 2001] have attributed
these increases to a natural climate
cycle termed the Atlantic Multidecadal
Oscillation (AMO), while other studies
suggest that climate change may instead
be playing the dominant role [Emanuel,
2005; Webster et al., 2005]. Using
a formal statistical analysis to
separate the estimated influences
of anthropogenic climate change from
possible natural cyclical influences,
this article presents results indicating
that anthropogenic factors are likely
responsible for long-term trends
in tropical Atlantic warmth and tropical
cyclone activity. In addition, this
analysis indicates that late twentieth
century tropospheric aerosol cooling
has offset a substantial fraction
of anthropogenic warming in the region
and has thus likely suppressed even
greater potential increases in tropical
cyclone activity. climate data [e.g.,
Delworth and Mann, 2000].
24 April 2006. Earth's
Big Heat Bucket. By Michon
Scott ·for NASA
Earth Observatory. Excerpt:
... Researchers at NASA's Jet Propulsion
Laboratory and Goddard Institute
for Space Studies have learned to
think of the ocean as ... Earth's "biggest
heat bucket." And like
a bucket placed under an overflowing
sink, the ocean is filling up
with the heat that increasing
levels of greenhouse gases are
preventing from escaping to space.
By comparing computer simulations
of Earth's climate with millions
of measurements of ocean heat
content collected by satellites
and in-the-water sensors, a team
of climatologists and oceanographers
has provided what leading NASA
climate scientist James Hansen
calls the "smoking gun" of
human-caused global climate change:
a prediction of Earth's energy
imbalance that closely matches
real-world observations. ..."It
turns out that the atmosphere,
the air, really can't hold that
much heat," explains Josh
Willis, an oceanographer with
the California Institute of Technology
working at NASA's Jet Propulsion
Laboratory. Heat capacity is
the amount of energy that must
be put into something to change
its temperature, and air has
a very low heat capacity. "If
you put energy into the ocean, on
the other hand, its temperature changes
only very slightly."
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